New poll has Trump with a 5-point lead over Biden
WASHINGTON (TND) — A new NBC News poll spells trouble for President Biden.
The data shows former President Donald Trump is gaining ground, now leading Biden by five points in a theoretical match-up. Trump clocked in 47% of support vs. Biden's 42%. That's the largest lead Trump has had against Biden in the five years of NBC running the poll.
Nine months out from election day just 37% of voters approve of Biden. That places him in a weaker position than George W. Bush who was at 54% approval running for his second term, Barack Obama who was at 49% approval at this point and even Trump who had a 46% approval rating heading into 2020.
He’s really got to be concerned about the fact that he’s not polling well with the people who really delivered the presidency to him in 2020, specifically people of color and persons under 30 years old," explained Dr. Todd Belt, the political management program director at George Washington University.Trump and Biden are statistically tied among Hispanics, an alarming statistic for Democrats. It’s been 20 years since a Republican presidential candidate has seen this level of support.
The data shows Biden struggling on key issues. When it comes to the economy, 55% prefer Trump while 33% prefer Biden. The president is doing even worse when it comes to securing the border. The NBC News poll shows that 57% prefer Trump on the issue to 22% prefer Biden.
Biden's re-election campaign team has their work cut out for them but experts see places Biden can make tangible improvement with voters.
The bipartisan border security bill going through Congress could help Biden's polling numbers on the border according to Belt, even if Senate Republicans block it.
He has the ability to say look I was going to work with Republicans to give them exactly what they wanted and they wouldn't work with me so they’re not really your friend on this," said Belt.Belt predicts we’ll also hear Biden talk a lot about abortion as he works to win back younger voters.
The president has bigger hurdles when it comes to convincing voters he's up to another 4 years. Only 23% of those polled by NBC believe Biden has the physical and mental health to do the job, a 15-point slip from 2020.
But there is a wild card lurking in the wings.
Data shows if Trump is convicted of a felony he loses support. That scenario gives Biden a slight but important lead for the re-match.
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